All Posts Tagged With: "US dollar"

Steve Palmer: Juniors Staged to Climb from New Ground Floor?

Source: The Gold Report  

Whether irrational exuberance or the faltering dot-com industry triggered it, the economic downturn of 2001 hit junior resource companies hard. They bounced back in a big way. “Downturn” understates the current scenario, but AlphaNorth Asset Management President and CEO Steve Palmer sees similarities. He looks forward to taking advantage of opportunities “to get in on some of what has now become the new ground floor” and make some “tremendous gains.” While he anticipates more bad news on the employment front, he also tells The Gold Report followers that he believes “we’ve avoided the abyss” and confidence is…

11Feb2009 | The Gold Report | 0 comments | Continued

RALLY IN RISK PUTS PRESSURE ON THE DOLLAR TO THE DOWNSIDE

We are seeing a light revival in risk appetite putting downside pressure on the dollar. The EurUsd rose nearly 100pips to the mid range of 1.29, while the UsdJpy fell roughly 50pips to the bottoming out around 89. The GbpUsd gained 50pips pushing the pair back above1.43 ahead of the BoE meeting scheduled for this week. Equity markets are positive in the US and Europe with the Dow higher by 1.7% or 141pts. Bond yields followed suit as rates jumped higher across the UST curve, notably the 10 and 30yr saw the largest moves up 16 and 20bps respectively. Commodities…

3Feb2009 | Advanced Currency Markets | 0 comments | Continued

The Falling U.S. Dollar: Taking An About-Face

Investing requires tough decisions. What to buy? When to buy? How much?

But none more difficult than this: Admitting the fundamentals no longer support an investment you own. Or, as the French philosopher Geoffrey F. Abert summed it up over 900 years ago, “It often takes more courage to change one’s opinion than to stick to it.”

And today I’m living proof.

Just three weeks ago, to the day, I declared, “The dollar’s not done.” I laid out my case about Jim Roger’s being wrong.

But I’m officially changing my stance on the falling U.S. dollar.

Investment U

To be clear, it’s not because I finally saw…

18Dec2008 | Investment U | 0 comments | Continued

Unprecedented Volatility Will Precede Highly Profitable Rebound

In the 20 years I’ve been creating stock-market forecasts, I’ve never seen such a contradictory set of forces at work in the markets all at one time. I could just as easily make the case that we’re finally nearing a bottom, as I could that we’re in for protracted downturn punctuated by sharp, quick drops.

The only question in my mind is what shape an eventual recovery will take, for I see three possibilities:

  • A "U," with a slow, methodical reversal that gradually transitions into a market rebound.
  • A "V," with a quick, sharp reversal that marks the start of a powerful…
1Dec2008 | Money Morning | 1 comment | Continued

Jim Rogers: The dollar is a flawed currency

Excerpts from The Financial Times’ View from the Markets online interview with Jim Rogers:

FT: It’s a year since we last interviewed you. You were aggressively bearish about the dollar, but you thought there would probably be a rebound and you would take that as an opportunity to further get out of the dollar. Have you made a further exit from the dollar?

JR: Not yet, no. And the reason I haven’t is because we’re in a period of forced liquidation of everything. We’ve only had eight or nine periods like this in the past 150 years, where everybody has to reverse their positions on everything.…

21Nov2008 | The Gold Blog | 0 comments | Continued

Bernanke’s end game, dollar devaluation

FT Alphaville:

There is another cost too. As interest rates move to zero, the Fed’s becomes less and less effective: low-yielding treasury bills are barely distinguishable from cash.
The answer to this is to expand the balance sheet: the Fed has to grow larger and larger to allow it to continue to affect rates.

This is all remarkably similar to the policy of quantitative easing adopted by the Bank of Japan in the 1990s. It’s odd really that the Fed is not giving much clarity on its actions. Odder yet that people aren’t looking to Ben Bernanke’s numerous papers on fighting deflation to…

19Nov2008 | The Real Deal | Comments Off | Continued

Unprecedented Volatility Will Continue to Rock the Stock Market in Advance of a Possible Rebound in Mid-2009

In the 20 years I’ve been creating stock-market forecasts, I’ve never seen such a contradictory set of forces at work in the markets all at one time. I could just as easily make the case that we’re finally nearing a bottom, as I could that we’re in for protracted downturn punctuated by sharp, quick drops.

The only question in my mind is what shape an eventual recovery will take, for I see three possibilities:

  • A “U,” with a slow, methodical reversal that gradually transitions into a market rebound.
  • A “V,” with a quick, sharp reversal that marks the start of a powerful…
12Nov2008 | Money Morning | Comments Off | Continued

A Healthy Stew that Looks Like Hell

As a child, there were times when your mama served you up something for dinner that you weren’t so fond of.  It sort of gave you an ill feeling just looking at it – even if you knew it was healthy.  The last thing you wanted to do was sit there and dig in.

Something like what we’re going through these days with the stock market: the nausea, the dizziness, the desire to feed it to the dog and just go up to your bedroom to sleep.

If not for your father’s booming, “You’ll eat everything on that plate, and you’ll like…

31Oct2008 | Oxbury Research | Comments Off | Continued

Death of the Dollar Still Inevitable: Dead Cat Bounce Explained

I’ve been writing a lot recently about the dollar vs gold trade, with the emphasis of the discussion being on gold analysis.  The problem is that there are a lot more individuals who care more about dollar FX markets than they do about gold.  This has been the case regarding the network of people I work and converse with on a daily basis, and this has definitely been the case with main stream media.

The latter subject is the actual reason I decided to sit down and write up a piece regarding the U.S. dollar.  More specifically, on CNBC this past…

28Oct2008 | Oxbury Research | Comments Off | Continued

What’s Another $540 Billion in Loans?

More Government Intervention, This Time to Save the Money Markets

It seems that there’s a never-ending supply of cash floating around Washington these days, and this time it’s the money markets which are the beneficiary. The Fed has observed that "short-term debt markets have been under considerable strain in recent weeks" and that about $500 billion has flowed out of prime money-market funds since August, which with other money-market mutual funds control $3.45 trillion.

If you’re not already familiar with them, money market funds are mutual funds that invest in short term instruments that mature in less than 13 months. What’s more,…

24Oct2008 | Oxbury Research | Comments Off | Continued
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