All Posts Tagged With: "oxbury"

Inflation or Idiot

My patience for utter stupidity and incompetency is growing slimmer with each passing day.  I’ve gotten extremely sour and impatient with the morons that love to hear their own voices and have others think of them as capable of independent thought.  The problem is that I’m completely surrounded by it.  It doesn’t matter if it’s local media, main stream financial media, a friend of the family, or the janitor at work.

For those who do like to discuss these things with me, or while I’m within earshot, they’ve probably noticed my disdain by the tones of my voice or simply my…

16Dec2008 | Oxbury Research | 0 comments | Continued

Where’s the Bailout Now?

The U.S. has been dishing out the bailout funds at a truly stunning pace.  It wasn’t too long ago when Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac received those first capital infusions.  Since then, so much money has been dolled out that it’s difficult to follow who got what money, and who the next recipient of government funds is going to be.

I want to take a look back into some of the specifics of the bailout, and where there at today.

Being that I mentioned Fannie and Freddie already, let’s start there.  The GSE bailout package gives the U.S. government the option to…

11Nov2008 | Oxbury Research | Comments Off | Continued

Are International Equities Out of the Woods Yet?

International equities have been among the hardest hit during the market’s recent downturn.

I don’t know that I will be jumping on board anytime soon, but Citigroup (C) notes that at 10.3 times trailing earnings, world-wide stock valuations have tanked to levels worse than that of an 11.4 average for the 1970s.

To an extent, forward P/E ratios have lost some of their predictive value. After we have seen a slew of downward revisions by companies reporting their third-quarter earnings, these ratios have become moving targets.

A Downward Spiral

Country-focused ETFs have experienced quite the slide in 2008. The iShares MSCI United Kingdom Index…

5Nov2008 | Oxbury Research | Comments Off | Continued

Today Was Brought to You By the Letter V and the Number 0.3

And, of course, by viewers like you.

It has been made abundantly clear this past week that many of us would much rather be watching Sesame Street than Wall Street – although both are full of valuable life lessons. In fact, had more of our financial leaders watched Sesame Street, we might have less greed, more sharing, and more honesty and integrity throughout the marketplace.

Perhaps we wouldn’t even be in this mess. However, it is evident that there are far more Oscar the Grouches than Big Birds hanging around.

So, “V” might be for vendetta, but as of late has…

31Oct2008 | Oxbury Research | Comments Off | Continued

A Healthy Stew that Looks Like Hell

As a child, there were times when your mama served you up something for dinner that you weren’t so fond of.  It sort of gave you an ill feeling just looking at it – even if you knew it was healthy.  The last thing you wanted to do was sit there and dig in.

Something like what we’re going through these days with the stock market: the nausea, the dizziness, the desire to feed it to the dog and just go up to your bedroom to sleep.

If not for your father’s booming, “You’ll eat everything on that plate, and you’ll like…

31Oct2008 | Oxbury Research | Comments Off | Continued

Don’t Cry Over Spilled 1%

For the second time this year, on October 8th, the Fed announced an emergency rate cut.

A man named Jeffrey Staut, the chief strategist at Raymond James, stated shortly afterwards, “This better work. This is the last chance.”

In the two days following, the Dow shed more than 1,000 points. True, it gained it back the following week (undoubtedly a result of short profit-taking and bottom-hungry purchases rather than real interest), but it has since shrugged off that attempt at fixing a much larger problem and we’re back where we were on October 10th.

Seems like we’ve had a lot of “last…

24Oct2008 | Oxbury Research | Comments Off | Continued

The Best and Worst a Dollar Will Buy

I am going to use this edition of Charts of the Week to accomplish a series of tasks that has gone undone for too long.  Forthwith:

  1. To answer a brainless dolt called James West, whose name appears with some regularity on the otherwise respectable Kitco website.  This “writer” [oh, if only he could string a few words together without obfuscating] produced this gem just a week ago:

“Right now, the dollar is looking strong because of the massive repatriation of U.S. dollars now underway as a result of global U.S. denominated asset de-leveraging. So it looks [the “writer’s” emphasis] like the dollar is strengthening. This…

22Oct2008 | Oxbury Research | Comments Off | Continued

How the Smart Money Will Go Broke

A long time ago, I took a course to prepare for the Series 7 Licensing exam. At the risk of divulging his identity, I will describe the instructor of this course simply as a former options trader closely affiliated with Ivan Boesky in the 1980s. We’ll call him “Jack”.

“I’m not a smart man.”

Jack would commonly make profound statements, and if you want to know the truth, I learned far more about trading strategies and mentalities from him than I ever learned about the recklessly boring material on the exam.

“…But I bought a boat this morning, and I did…

17Oct2008 | Oxbury Research | Comments Off | Continued

Three Strikes and the Idiots They Created

$700 Billion.

Massive commercial paper purchase agreements.

½ percent rate cut.

Well, looks like we went swimming with those band-aids on, and now they’re floating in the pool. Following bailouts and bailout proposals, buyouts and rate cuts, investors themselves have decided to bail out. The S&P is down 42% from its high exactly one year ago yesterday.

You know how sad things are? I didn’t have to elaborate on any of the first three fragmented sentences of this article. You knew exactly what I was talking about in each case. The government has thrown everything it’s got (and some things it hasn’t) at…

13Oct2008 | Oxbury Research | Comments Off | Continued

Euro Shows Its Real Colors

If you would have told the "economists/analysts" on CNBC or Bloomberg six months ago that the next interest rate move by the Fed would be down, you would have most likely been laughed at.  You see, market capitulation in any market is often relative. For many, just when you feel comfortable with a trading range, or trend, it changes.  When we slashed rates down to 2%, many individuals (even the doves), said that’s more than enough. 

A couple bank failures, takeovers, bankruptcies, and bail out later and the markets were screaming for a rate cut.  This time it was a…

9Oct2008 | Oxbury Research | Comments Off | Continued
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