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Stock Market Rebound or Just Another Bear Trap?
For many investors, the last 12 months have felt like a cross between Dante’s “Ninth Circle of Hell” and Mr. Toad’s Wild Ride.
Even so, after Tuesday’s market action – which saw the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rebound from a 12-year low to gain 6.4%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average jump 5.8% – many investors are no doubt wondering if it’s time to pile in.
It could well be. But then again, it just as easily could be a precursor to another financial drubbing – the kind of bear-market “head fake” that I’ve correctly warned investors against on a number of…
12Mar2009 | Money Morning | 0 comments | ContinuedUnprecedented Volatility Will Precede Highly Profitable Rebound
In the 20 years I’ve been creating stock-market forecasts, I’ve never seen such a contradictory set of forces at work in the markets all at one time. I could just as easily make the case that we’re finally nearing a bottom, as I could that we’re in for protracted downturn punctuated by sharp, quick drops.
The only question in my mind is what shape an eventual recovery will take, for I see three possibilities:
- A "U," with a slow, methodical reversal that gradually transitions into a market rebound.
- A "V," with a quick, sharp reversal that marks the start of a powerful…
Although Top Brokers Predict Record Rebound in U.S. Stocks, Dissenters Abound
Just days after a key U.S. stocks index posted its worst month since the Great Depression, three global investment banks are predicting the biggest second-half rally in more than 25 years.
Market strategists at Deutsche Bank AG (DB), Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. (LEH) and UBS AG (UBS) are predicting that the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index will soar 25% to 29% in the last six months of the year – making for the biggest rebound in that closely watched index of U.S. stocks since 1982, when Ronald Reagan was in the White House.
Deutsche Bank Chief Strategist Binky Chada is the most…
8Jul2008 | Money Morning | Comments Off | ContinuedRecession: Not Gonna Happen
I could not have said it better myself:
“I think this recession mumbo jumbo is way out of line. It is being pushed on the radio and TV, but out in the real world we are not seeing it.”
I heard that line as I was chatting with the owner of a tourism company. The president of a publicly traded company uttered it as he called the man I was speaking with to cancel his $60,000 employee-incentive vacation. He said he just got done laying off scores of workers and his shareholders would hang him if he took the trip.
Once I found…
27Jan2008 | Guest Contributor | Comments Off | Continued
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