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When Oil Fell and We All Got Rich
One of the unexpected benefits of a $90-a-barrel drop in the price of crude oil is a transport sector that has far less to pay for keeping things moving. Now, of course, that savings is predicated on the assumption that there’s actually something out there to move – that manufacturers are still making things, and consumers are still buying. These days, none of that can be taken for granted. Consumer spending recently turned into a pumpkin
and went home (see chart, above). And as for shipping, the dye has also been cast. A look at the venerable Baltic Dry Index tells a…
19Nov2008 | Oxbury Research | Comments Off | ContinuedDow Transports Say: The Bull Market Lives!
Matt McAbby
Quantitative Analyst, Oxbury Research
Dow Theory, developed originally by Charles Dow, the founder and editor of The Wall Street Journal, is one of the oldest and most reliable methods of market analysis available to investors. Without getting into all the particulars, one of the key tenets of Dow Theory is that both the Dow Transport Average and the Dow Industrial Average must confirm one another when bull and bear markets begin. Below we examine exactly how this works.
But first, let’s take a brief look at the relationship that binds the Transports to the Industrials.
There are two aspects to traditional industrial…
3Sep2008 | Oxbury Research | Comments Off | Continued
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