All Posts Tagged With: "dollar"

Federal Reserve’s Trillion Dollar Debt-Buying Plan Eases Lending and Zaps the Greenback

While the U.S. Federal Reserve’s plan to buy more than $1 trillion in debt has helped unfreeze the credit markets, it has also effectively capped U.S. Treasury yields and undermined the dollar. And that’s caused commodities to soar as currency speculators and safe-haven investors head for higher ground.

At the culmination of the policymaking Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) two-day meeting Wednesday, Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke revealed that the central bank would purchase up to $300 billion in longer-term Treasury securities, as well as an additional $750 billion of mortgage-backed securities. The central bank also said it would buy debt issued…

20Mar2009 | Money Morning | 0 comments | Continued

Daily Futures Commentary FINANCIALS March 16, 2009

Monday, March 16, 2009

OVERVIEW

Global equity markets are up again overnight on optimism that we may have seen the bottom of the recession. Asset allocation plays are the theme as money is moving around between the U.S. Dollar, Gold, U.S. Treasuries and Equities.

On the television show 60-Minutes, Fed Chairman Bernanke said the recession could end in 2009 with a recovery to begin in 2010. This comment is inline with his testimony before Congress earlier in the month, but nonetheless potentially bullish.

The G-20 meeting ended this week-end with no real new developments. They had no immediate solutions to…

16Mar2009 | Brewer Investment Group | 0 comments | Continued

US SESSION: DOLLAR CLOSING THE WEEK STRONGER ACROSS THE G10

The dollar gained substantially against most of the majors recovering most of this week’s losses. The EurUsd sunk over 360 pips to the high range of 1.38, while the UsdJpy was mostly flat up only 7pips to mid 89 price area. The GbpUsd dropped an additional 160 to the mid 1.48 level, due to several factors including weak economic conditions. Equity markets have traded traded closely to yesterday’s levels with the Dow and SPX virtually unchanged. Bond have given up light ground with 2yr and 10 yr yields higher by 5bps, but remain considerably lower from average levels. The commodities…

19Dec2008 | Advanced Currency Markets | 1 comment | Continued

The Falling U.S. Dollar: Taking An About-Face

Investing requires tough decisions. What to buy? When to buy? How much?

But none more difficult than this: Admitting the fundamentals no longer support an investment you own. Or, as the French philosopher Geoffrey F. Abert summed it up over 900 years ago, “It often takes more courage to change one’s opinion than to stick to it.”

And today I’m living proof.

Just three weeks ago, to the day, I declared, “The dollar’s not done.” I laid out my case about Jim Roger’s being wrong.

But I’m officially changing my stance on the falling U.S. dollar.

Investment U

To be clear, it’s not because I finally saw…

18Dec2008 | Investment U | 0 comments | Continued

Jim Rogers: The dollar is a flawed currency

Excerpts from The Financial Times’ View from the Markets online interview with Jim Rogers:

FT: It’s a year since we last interviewed you. You were aggressively bearish about the dollar, but you thought there would probably be a rebound and you would take that as an opportunity to further get out of the dollar. Have you made a further exit from the dollar?

JR: Not yet, no. And the reason I haven’t is because we’re in a period of forced liquidation of everything. We’ve only had eight or nine periods like this in the past 150 years, where everybody has to reverse their positions on everything.…

21Nov2008 | The Gold Blog | 0 comments | Continued

Global Keynesian Economic Crisis (Part 2 of 3)

For the second part of this series, we are going to start by looking back at the three farmer scenario

In today’s society, the three farmers have, for a while, experienced a period where the monetary base is growing enough to keep up with the debt that needs to be repaid.  The problem is that available credit has dried up.

Let’s switch out that farmer with a home buyer today, but keep the farmer scenario present in thought as we move forward.  This home owner receives a loan from a bank, which is now a liability for the home owner. 

Let’s not…

18Nov2008 | Oxbury Research | Comments Off | Continued

US SESSION: SELLERS CONTINUE TO DRIVE MARKETS SOUTH JPY STRENGTHENS

The dollar seems to be breaking away from the risk aversion trade which has been the persistent theme in the marketplace. The EurUsd rose nearly 130 pips to the low range of 1.26, while the UsdJpy moved 50 pips to the downside trading at the mid 96 price area. The GbpUsd rallied over 300pips to the low 1.50 level, recovering some of last week’s losses. Equity markets opened lower in the US with the Dow down 1.2% or 100pts, the European stock indexes are negative as well with the DAX off 2.1% or 100pts in intraday trading. Bond yields are…

17Nov2008 | Advanced Currency Markets | Comments Off | Continued

Death of the Dollar Still Inevitable: Dead Cat Bounce Explained

I’ve been writing a lot recently about the dollar vs gold trade, with the emphasis of the discussion being on gold analysis.  The problem is that there are a lot more individuals who care more about dollar FX markets than they do about gold.  This has been the case regarding the network of people I work and converse with on a daily basis, and this has definitely been the case with main stream media.

The latter subject is the actual reason I decided to sit down and write up a piece regarding the U.S. dollar.  More specifically, on CNBC this past…

28Oct2008 | Oxbury Research | Comments Off | Continued

The Best and Worst a Dollar Will Buy

I am going to use this edition of Charts of the Week to accomplish a series of tasks that has gone undone for too long.  Forthwith:

  1. To answer a brainless dolt called James West, whose name appears with some regularity on the otherwise respectable Kitco website.  This “writer” [oh, if only he could string a few words together without obfuscating] produced this gem just a week ago:

“Right now, the dollar is looking strong because of the massive repatriation of U.S. dollars now underway as a result of global U.S. denominated asset de-leveraging. So it looks [the “writer’s” emphasis] like the dollar is strengthening. This…

22Oct2008 | Oxbury Research | Comments Off | Continued

Resources Hit the Dog Days

Oil is selling in the range of $113 per barrel, down from its recent high of $146. Gold is selling below $800 per ounce, down significantly from its springtime high of over $1,000. With a drop in excess of 20 percent for each item, it’s fair to say that we are in a bear market for both oil and gold.

Prices for other items, like natural gas, coal, silver, platinum, copper, zinc — and even a ubiquitous food commodity like corn — are all down sharply from much higher levels in recent months. So what’s going on with the pricing for…

27Aug2008 | Whiskey and Gunpowder | Comments Off | Continued
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