Commodities
Gold as a “Go To” Asset Class
From an HRA SD Alert to former Gold Mining Stock Report subscribers
by David Coffin
We believe there is room for more gold price gain, near term. A “true” gold market in which the yellow metal is being treated as an asset class in its own right is building around the uncertainties in other markets. That is different from recent warehousing cycles when gold moved most strongly during the final up stage of a resource/economic cycle. This time around gold is being treated as a market and currency hedge, not as a goody bag being handed out at the end of a party. …
20Nov2009 | HRA Advisories | 0 comments | ContinuedTake the Long View For Gold & Silver
When gold reached its record high against the US dollar of $1064.20 on October 13th, the price of gold in euros, Swiss francs and British pounds did not confirm. On that day they were still below their recent high by 10.1%, 7.5% and 4.4% respectively.
Technically, this result was a bearish divergence, which can be a warning sign that the market’s internal condition is deteriorating. For example, bearish divergences often signal a top.
Whether or not gold was signaling a potential top, the argument could be made – and many have made it – that gold was rising solely because of dollar…
World’s Best Investors Bet Big on “Utter Nonsense”
“Maybe [gold] will reach $1,100 or so but $1,500 or $2,000 is nonsense.”
That’s what Nouriel Roubini said a few days ago at the Inside Commodities Conference in New York.
The comments from the economist credited with foreseeing the banking crisis were aimed squarely at investing legend Jim Rogers. According to reports, Roubini specifically referred to Rogers’ call for $2000 gold as “utter nonsense.”
Since then, gold has continued to set new highs and is attracting a lot more attention from some of the best investors in the world.
The Day Gold’s Fate was Sealed
Back in March, when the S&P was sliding…
19Nov2009 | Q1 Publishing | 0 comments | ContinuedCan Precious Metals Keep on Flying?
Are you sold on gold? The precious metal outperformed every major equity index in the world in 2008. The question is, can gold—and other precious metals—keep on flying? Or would buying today be buying high and selling low?
Precious metals have always been intriguing to investors because they tend to hold their value. In times of geopolitical crisis or currency devaluation, for example, the value of paper money might fluctuate, but a hard asset will always be worth something. As a result, historically, precious metals have been considered a “safe haven” in times of economic and financial instability.
That brings us to…
18Nov2009 | OilPrice.com | 0 comments | ContinuedTwo Forces Pushing Gold Higher
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When gold broke out of a triangle formation in early September, a technical buying signal was generated. I discussed this bullish signal in my Money and Markets column and told readers that a move to new all-time highs had probably begun. Hence, I strongly recommended gold.
A few weeks later gold gave another buying signal. This one was even more important than the first, because gold had entered new high ground.
As you can see on the weekly chart below, gold broke out of a huge consolidation pattern that lasted from March 2008 until October 2009. This signal was telling us that the…
18Nov2009 | Money and Markets | 0 comments | ContinuedGold Supply Running Short
Telegraph: Global gold production is in terminal decline despite record prices and Herculean efforts by mining companies to discover fresh sources of ore in remote spots, according to the world’s top producer Barrick Gold.
Aaron Regent, president of the Canadian gold giant, said that global output has been falling by roughly 1m ounces a year since the start of the decade. Total mine supply has dropped by 10pc as ore quality erodes, implying that the roaring bull market of the last eight years may have further to run.
"There is a strong case to be made that we are already at ‘peak…
13Nov2009 | The Real Deal | 1 comment | ContinuedCommodity Companies Index (CCI) Up 214% YTD!
Up until now investors, analysts and newsletter writers have relied on the price performance of the commodities themselves (such as gold, silver, crude oil, etc.), the Reuters CRB Commodity Index or the HUI, XAU, GDM or CDNX indices to determine the health, performance and trends in commodities.
Fortunately, for all concerned, a new index has been introduced that provides a much more all-encompassing mix of companies associated with a wide variety of commodity-related products. It is called the Commodity Companies Index (CCI).
Unlike the large-cap centric HUI, XAU and GDM indices and the nano-cap centric and less commodity-oriented CDNX index, the CCI…
12Nov2009 | Lorimer Wilson | 0 comments | ContinuedWhistleblower Says IEA Inflated Oil Reserves
Guardian UK: The world is much closer to running out of oil than official estimates admit, according to a whistleblower at the International Energy Agency who claims it has been deliberately underplaying a looming shortage for fear of triggering panic buying.
My comment: I am shocked, shocked I say that a government sponsored entity would lie about oil reserves and future production.
The senior official claims the US has played an influential role in encouraging the watchdog to underplay the rate of decline from existing oil fields while overplaying the chances of finding new reserves.
My comment: The US politicians cant allow the sheeple to call…
11Nov2009 | The Real Deal | 0 comments | ContinuedVolumetrics
From the November 2009 HRA Journal
David Coffin & Eric Coffin, HRA Advisories
India’s central bank taking 200 tonnes (6.4 million oz) of gold from the IMF in an off market trade has certainly lit a fire under the yellow metal. While a trade of that nature was anticipated, India, which is about the savviest of commercial gold players, was not atop the expected buyers’ list. Given the greenback was steady and that gold’s chart went near vertical when the overnight rumor became official, it is likely that the big long position that came into the market forced some covering on the short…
9Nov2009 | HRA Advisories | 0 comments | ContinuedOil Majors are Coming Back to Iraq
Businessweek: In June many of the world’s biggest energy companies walked away from bidding on potentially rich oil fields in Iraq. While they liked the billions of barrels of reserves that were on offer, ENI, ExxonMobil, Royal Dutch Shell, and others balked at the tough terms the Iraqis were proposing.
Today they’re coming back—and getting roughly the same deal that was on the table during the summer. On Nov. 2, ENI initialed a contract to boost production in the Zubair field near Basra, which it estimates has 6 billion barrels of reserves. Shell, Exxon, and ConocoPhillips also are in talks that…
9Nov2009 | The Real Deal | 0 comments | Continued
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