Archive for Money and Markets
The Hidden Costs of Too Much Government Debt
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This week was a fascinating one on the geopolitical front. President Barack Obama travelled to China in what was billed as a major diplomatic trip.
The idea? Try to reach common ground on several fronts, including global nuclear proliferation, environmental issues, and especially China’s currency …
The U.S., Europe, and even some of China’s Asian neighbors believe that China is artificially suppressing the value of its currency, the renminbi or yuan. That, in turn, is giving China an artificial advantage in global trade by making its exports more competitive vis-à-vis those of other nations.
But you know what Obama came home with?…
20Nov2009 | Money and Markets | 0 comments | ContinuedProfit from the Falling Dollar With ETFs
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The U.S. dollar is falling like a rock! And while we could always see a short-term rally, I’m growing more and more convinced that the dollar is heading much lower against other world currencies.
Look at this chart below. In just the last eight months, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the strength of the dollar against a basket of major currencies, plunged more than 15 percent! This week it’s breaking down even further.
One of the main reasons this trend is likely to continue is that the people who have the power to do anything about it — namely the…
19Nov2009 | Money and Markets | 0 comments | ContinuedTwo Forces Pushing Gold Higher
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When gold broke out of a triangle formation in early September, a technical buying signal was generated. I discussed this bullish signal in my Money and Markets column and told readers that a move to new all-time highs had probably begun. Hence, I strongly recommended gold.
A few weeks later gold gave another buying signal. This one was even more important than the first, because gold had entered new high ground.
As you can see on the weekly chart below, gold broke out of a huge consolidation pattern that lasted from March 2008 until October 2009. This signal was telling us that the…
18Nov2009 | Money and Markets | 0 comments | ContinuedFighting Soaring College Costs
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I’ve talked a lot about soaring costs for many of our biggest needs and wants — energy, health care, food, and more.
But if you have kids or grandkids, you’re probably aware of another major expenditure that keeps going up no matter how weak the broad economy is: The price of a college education.
The College Board’s latest survey came out a couple weeks ago, showing that tuition and fees at private 4-year schools rose 4.4 percent in the current school year to $26,273.
Meanwhile, the price of a 4-year public university education spiked more than 6 percent for both in-state…
17Nov2009 | Money and Markets | 0 comments | ContinuedThe Strongest BRIC Country
I have a trick question for you, especially if you’re interested in emerging markets:
Among the four BRIC countries — Brazil, Russia, India and China — which offers the best stock market performance for American investors?
Be careful how you answer, because appearances can be deceiving, especially if you focus strictly on one year.
Looking at year-to-date results, for example, it might seem that the answer is Russia.
From the close of trading at the end of last year through the closing price this past Friday …
FXI, the exchange-traded fund (ETF) tracking China’s blue chips, is up 45.87 percent …
PIN, representing India’s major stocks,…
16Nov2009 | Money and Markets | 0 comments | ContinuedThe Latest on Rates, the Fed, Asset Inflation, and More
When it comes to Lay’s potato chips, the saying goes, you can’t eat just one.
And when it comes to the interest rate and financial markets, I just can’t focus on one thing this week. There’s just too much going on.
So if you’ll forgive me, I’m going to cover a lot of ground in the little time I have. Fasten your seatbelt!
Fed Still … STILL … Doesn’t Get It
When It Comes to Asset Bubbles
More than a year and a half ago, right here in Money and Markets, I took the Federal Reserve to task for one of its idiotic practices —…
14Nov2009 | Money and Markets | 0 comments | ContinuedSchwab Changes the ETF Landscape
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I’ve been talking for years about the way exchange traded funds (ETFs) are changing the investment landscape. Yet sometimes I’m still startled to see the world change in front of my eyes. That’s exactly what happened last week when Charles Schwab launched its first four in-house ETFs.
Are these new funds revolutionary? Not really — all are core holding ETFs in areas already well-covered by other sponsors. What’s new and unusual is Schwab’s bold move to offer its online brokerage clients commission-free trading in its own ETFs.
Yes, that’s right: If you’re a Schwab client you can buy and sell any of…
13Nov2009 | Money and Markets | 0 comments | ContinuedThe Sorry State of Modern Economics
Since last year’s collapse of the banking system, hundreds of billions of dollars have been spent to bail out some of the major players. Additionally, governments all over the world, and their central banks, have implemented huge stimulus programs to combat the consequences of the burst real estate bubble.
Economic history is being written right before our eyes. Hence, I refer to this episode as the largest economic experiment since the implementation of communism. And here’s what really frightens me: None of the experimenters saw this crisis coming, but all of them claim to know the remedy!
At the same time politicians…
12Nov2009 | Money and Markets | 0 comments | ContinuedI Blame Everyone for the Credit Card Fiasco
I was recently talking to my mother, and she started talking about the evil credit card companies, and how they were out to get us all — right now — by jacking up our rates unfairly in a bid to record massive profits before new consumer-oriented legislation begins going into effect.
She cited personal examples of people who have been coming into the credit union where she works, telling tales of new fees, lower limits, and interest rates doubling overnight for no good reason.
And make no mistake — I totally agree that credit card companies are doing these things today. Moreover,…
11Nov2009 | Money and Markets | 1 comment | ContinuedThe Next Bust: The “Risk Trade”
A lot of focus was given to the central banks’ meetings this week.
That’s because a lot of people would really like to see target rates start moving up from their low levels.
Some argue for higher rates because they think the world is returning to normal and the emergency policy responses need to be removed sooner rather than later to avoid a date with inflation.
Others are concerned that all of the ultra-easy money will result in asset price inflation, another bubble and ultimately another bust.
But clearly, the central banks have different concerns. This week …
- The Federal Reserve kept…
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