Archive for Investment U

Buy “Low-Density” … How to Take the Guesswork Out of Valuing Stocks

I don’t care what investing legend you idolize and try to emulate – Buffett, Graham, Rogers, Lynch – they all share a common recommendation.

Always buy undervalued stocks and sell them when they’re overvalued. Or more commonly: “Buy low, sell high.” Of course, if you’ve invested for more than a week, you know this is easier said than done.

Undervalued (cheap) and overvalued (expensive) are such subjective measures when it comes to investing. Most times we end up guessing and most times we end up overpaying.

But today, let me show you one amazingly simple way to always buy stocks that are truly…

27Aug2009 | Investment U | 0 comments | Continued

These Three Commodities Are Set to Move… Are You Ready to Profit?

If you’re looking for what I call a “blast-off” move, look no further than the sugar market.

Since April, the commodity has embarked on an extreme upside move, shooting to highs not seen since sugar hit $0.45 per pound in 1981. The chart below illustrates it perfectly…

The Sugar Market's Blast Off Move

Sugar Chart: http://www.investmentu.com/images/sugar_082509.gif

The main reason for such a large jump was news from India, which indicated a potentially low sugar crop.

Over the past couple of weeks, the sugar market has surprised many analysts by trading even higher. I say that because while fundamental news like this often results in impressive-looking moves, its impact has a…

25Aug2009 | Investment U | 0 comments | Continued

Why You Need to Buy Apple (AAPL) and Sell Palm (Palm) Short

Regular readers, my colleagues and just about everyone else I come in contact with know I’m a big fan of Apple, Inc. (Nasdaq: AAPL). I’ve written about it here on several occasions, my family and I own a number of its computers, and we’re all “packin’ iPhones”.

So when it comes to reporting on it, you could easily come to the conclusion that I’m about as far away from an unbiased journalist as you can get.

But you’d be wrong. You see, I also own a computer that runs the Windows operating system published by Microsoft (not because I necessarily want to, but…

24Aug2009 | Investment U | 5 comments | Continued

Recommended Investment Books: Nine Invaluable Resources For Every Investor

Heaven help me… Mrs. L is on a mission.

My house has been turned upside-down, as she prepares to redecorate several rooms. Fortunately for the household, my input is neither required, nor requested.

Undeterred by the recession, the missus has made Pottery Barn her second home. And look for Williams Sonoma’s (NYSE: WSM) earnings to cruise higher next quarter, thanks to her spending there.

Trouble is, when I return home from work, the items I expect to find in their regular spots are gone, replaced by new stuff.

Yesterday, I found my books lined up in the hallway and was asked to donate the ones…

24Aug2009 | Investment U | 0 comments | Continued

Investing 101: Six Factors That Determine Your Investment Portfolio Value

Imagine trying to tackle algebra, geometry, or calculus without understanding basic mathematics.

Clearly, you wouldn’t get far.

Yet it’s not uncommon to run into investors who are knee deep in option trading, currencies, short selling, or sophisticated arbitrage strategies without mastering – or even understanding – basic investment principles.

Even seasoned hands can benefit from a refresher course from time to time.

So today we’re going to revisit Investing 101 and talk about the six factors that will determine the future value of your investment portfolio, whether it’s worth $10,000 or $10 million.

Six Factors That Determine Your Portfolio’s Future Value

Those six factors are:

  • The amount…
20Aug2009 | Investment U | 0 comments | Continued

Investing in Small Caps: Why it Pays to be Contrarian

Having a contrarian view of the markets can be wildly profitable.

In the last two years, I’ve:

  • Gone long the dollar when it was in the tank…
  • Shorted oil near its peak…
  • Shorted the big move to Treasuries on the heels of the credit crisis…
  • And, most recently, shorted gold at $918 an ounce.

At the time of recommendation, each trade was extraordinarily unpopular, prompting some folks to flat out question my sanity. And yet, taking the dissenting opinion made money each time (the jury’s still out on the shorting gold trade.)

How’d I find the wherewithal – and nerve – to do it?

David Dreman – The Father…

20Aug2009 | Investment U | 0 comments | Continued

Overvalued Timber REITs: Why Timber Investing Isn’t What It Used To Be

Ten years ago, it would be hard to imagine a more stable investment than timber, or those Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) that bought millions of acres of harvestable trees.

The 1990s were an ideal period to have timber as an investment:

  • Housing was doing well, and growth was beginning to take off in major cities.
  • The world was still pre-digital, and business still relied heavily on shuffling paper.
  • Electronic news was still a novelty; magazines and newspapers were still going strong.

What a difference a decade makes…

  • Housing is in the dumper, with no clear sign of a resurgence on the horizon.
  • Business has embraced the…
18Aug2009 | Investment U | 0 comments | Continued

Why Most Investment Systems Simply Won’t Work

Early in my 16-year career on Wall Street, I made an astonishing discovery: The overwhelming majority of my colleagues – bright, educated, experienced, and articulate – didn’t have the foggiest idea what they were talking about.

This only became obvious in retrospect, when I saw how their carefully constructed financial theories and investment forecasts turned to dust rather than generating any significant profits.

(You’d be surprised to learn, for example, how many investment “pros” lose a substantial percentage of their own money in the market each year.)

The truth is that there are virtually limitless ways to take a beating in stocks –…

17Aug2009 | Investment U | 0 comments | Continued

The M&A Market: When This Number Falls, Expect the Takeovers to Heat Up

When the credit markets froze solid last year, equities hit the skids, the economy tanked and so did the number of announced mergers and acquisitions (M&A).

But now the stock market’s on the mend. In my book, a 49% rally off the bottom for the S&P 500 qualifies as healing.

The economy’s showing signs of improvement. First-time jobless claims have dropped more than 15% since peaking in April.

As for the M&A market, well, it’s still suffering…

Through the second quarter, volume dropped 40.2% worldwide. Deals involving U.S. companies fared worse, dropping 57.5%, according to Thomson Reuters. And July marked the first month in over…

13Aug2009 | Investment U | 0 comments | Continued

Taxes Are Going Up… Here’s Three Ways to Play the Coming Tax Increase

Taxes are going to go up. I’m not happy about it, and I’m sure most Americans are as steamed as I am.

But here’s the stark reality: The money Uncle Sam gets from personal taxes, payroll deductions, corporate taxes and various other duties is a little more than half of the money it’s spending. The difference (deficit) has to be made up either by reducing spending, increasing taxes, or both.

It’s an unpleasant reality, but that doesn’t mean we’re helpless against these changes.

Many don’t know why or how much our Gross Domestic Product (GDP) relates to the taxes we all pay. So…

12Aug2009 | Investment U | 0 comments | Continued
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