Is the U.S. Government to Blame for this Financial Mess?
Bigger is not always better
Government officials, regulators, and Congress told us what we already knew, that one of the biggest contributors to the financial crisis was that in the wild merger and acquisition binge of the 1990s some major financial firms had become “too big to fail”, too intertwined with each other to fail. They had to be bailed out or the collapse of one or two could collapse the entire financial system.
Of course what they didn’t say is that they, government officials, regulators, and Congress, made most of it possible, when in 1999 they rescinded the Glass-Steagall Act of 1933.
Investigations after the 1929 stock market crash had revealed widespread conflicts of interest and outright fraud in the activities of numerous banks that had also become involved in investment banking and brokerage activities. By 1933, a large portion of the commercial banking system had collapsed, and the Great Depression was underway.
As one of several actions taken to help prevent it from ever happening again, the Glass-Steagall Act was passed, which separated commercial banking, investment banking, and brokerage activities, setting up substantial barriers between them. Savings banks could take in deposits from the public and make home mortgage loans. Commercial banks could take in deposits from corporations and make commercial loans. Investment banks could raise capital for businesses by taking them public, arrange mergers and acquisitions and so forth. Brokerage firms could provide a market for stocks and engage in brokering and investing in them.
It worked quite well for 70 years.
In the strong economy of the 1990’s banks of all types, and brokerage firms, grew larger within their own areas through mergers and acquisitions of competitors, the larger gobbling up the smaller, which was dangerous enough in concentrating financial strength in fewer and fewer but larger and larger hands.
Commercial banks then began peering over the barriers and saw the huge profits being made by investment banks and brokerage firms in the soaring stock market of the 1990’s. The investment banks and brokerage firms peered over and were enticed by the prospects they could see on the banking side, particularly in home mortgages.
And by spending humongous amounts of money lobbying regulators and Congress they managed to have the walls come down, when Congress repealed the barrier portion of the Glass-Steagall Act in November, 1999.
That opened the doors to financial firms being able to get into each other’s businesses (as had been the situation leading up to the 1929 crash), and they plunged headlong into doing so. Commercial banks established or acquired stock brokerage services, launched mutual funds and money-management services. Brokerage firms began offering banking services and mortgages. Commercial banks, investment banks, and brokerage firms all plunged into derivatives activity, excited particularly about the potential profits from packaging and marketing mortgage derivatives to institutional investors, even forming hedge funds of their own to invest in them.
Well, we know what happened when it collapsed last year. It came very close to a repeat of the collapse of the banking system in 1933 and the Great Depression.
So Congress and the regulators are saying – whoops! – let’s investigate and find out how that happened, who it should be blamed on, and what we can promise as assurance it won’t happen again.
We aren’t hearing anything at all about re-installing Glass-Steagall type barriers.
However, we are hearing promises about how the financial industry will be closely regulated and supervised so this ‘too big to fail’ stuff won’t happen again.
Yet, as part of the panicked rescue efforts, in various weekend meetings between regulators and major financial firms, Bank of America was encouraged to buy troubled Countrywide Financial (itself the second largest mortgage provider in the country). A few months later Bank of America was encouraged, perhaps even forced, to buy Merrill Lynch. Wells Fargo was encouraged to buy troubled Wachovia Bank. JP Morgan was assisted in its purchase of Washington Mutual. The list goes on and on.
The too big to fail have been made even larger as part of the solution?
Last week it was announced that BlackRock, the fourth largest money-management firm in the world, with $1.3 trillion of investor assets under management, will acquire Barclay Global Investors, the largest money-management firm in the world, from troubled British bank, Barclay’s.
The deal more than doubles the size of BlackRock, making it not only the world’s largest money-management firm (with $2.7 trillion under management), but double that of the second largest (State Street Global Advisors).
Wall Street analysts can’t seem to praise the deal enough because BlackRock is one of the few asset-managers that have remained relatively stable through the bear market, and the acquisition will provide needed capital to Barclay’s Bank.
That’s okay for now. But all the major financial institutions were strong and stable in the late 1990s and early 2000s too, when they were allowed to make the many big acquisitions that made them too big to fail.
Are acquisitions like the BlackRock deal, merging two of the largest money-management firms in the world, not something that should have to meet the new supervision of the financial industry in the efforts to fix the too big to fail dangers of the past? Does the vision of $2.7 trillion of investor assets being managed by one firm not make Congress and the regulators a tad nervous?
Just what are the reforms and oversight we are being assured will prevent the financial industry from bringing devastation down on the nation again at some now unexpected, but inevitable troubled time down the road?
Looks like more of the same old same old to me.
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Sy Harding is president of Asset Management Research Corp., editor of Sy Harding’s Street Smart Report, and has been consistently ranked in the Top-Ten Timers in the U.S. since 1990 by Timer Digest. Sy publishes the financial website www.StreetSmartReport.com and a free daily Internet blog at www.SyHardingblog.com. In 1999 he authored Riding The Bear – How To Prosper In the Coming Bear Market. His latest book is Beating the Market the Easy Way! – Proven Seasonal Strategies Double Market’s Performance!
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Comment by Steven gordon on 17 June 2009:
Absolutely! Amazing but this may be the heart of the whole thing.
I remember when the act was recinded my step father (a respected CPA) claimed that this was the begining of the end. “Too big to fail” will remain with us and blight us for along time to come.
Comment by Question on 17 June 2009:
I was wondering when the government will clearly admit their own mis-steps in this financial crisis. They encouraged sub-prime mortgages and were responsible for pseudo private/government firms Fannie and Freddy. They created two entities that had advantages over private competitors. Consequently, they became larger and larger until they imploded in a wave of bad lending. The government is most to blame for this crisis. I would like Obama to candidly admit that fact and lay out for the American people how the government will avoid such heavy handed interference in the future.
Furthermore, the banking industry needs a fresh look at erecting barriers to mitigate conflicts of interest. For example, how can analysts be housed in the same investment banking firm? Investment bankers make money off of M&A, IPOs, and various fees from firms who they would like to have healthy financials (or else, why acquire or go public if your financials stink?). Most analysts are not independent, and the market gets led around from one bad piece of advice to the next. It’s time for the madness to end. Separate analysts from the firms that profit off of their advice. People should be willing to pay for quality analysis and not some subsidized bs so that the next IPO will rake in big fees.
I am certain that many other examples could be thought of where reform is needed.