National Security Reality: Credit Is The Lifeblood Of Our Economy
In a speech before the London School of Economics a week ago, U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke offered a perverse economic theory in his quest to gather support for never-ending Wall Street bailouts.
Said Bernanke: "This disparate treatment, unappealing as it is, appears unavoidable. Our economic system is critically dependent on the free flow of credit, and the consequences for the broader economy of financial instability are thus powerful and quickly felt."
In other words, credit is the lifeblood of our economy, and the continued operation of credit providers is actually an issue of national security.
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In truth, not all economies run on credit. But over the last decade, the United States became a bubble economy that needed unlimited credit to keep from collapsing. In a legitimate economy, it is not credit that fuels spending and investment, but simply income and savings. It’s too bad our Fed chairman does not understand the difference.
That American families now routinely rely on credit to make every-day purchases is a habit that needs to be broken – not encouraged. What we need in America is more restraint and less indulgence.
For example, Americans in the current economy should not go into debt to buy new cars. Given the level of debt that weighs down the typical family, Americans should defer such purchases until they have paid down existing debt, or have replenished their savings to the point where they can afford to pay cash. Until that time, Americans should continue driving their old cars. In the meantime, the untapped savings could be made available to local businesses that would use it to finance badly needed capital investments.
But such a drastic reversal in financial culture represents the kind of change that no one in the outgoing or incoming White House administrations appears willing to consider. By providing perpetual support to lenders that have bankrupted themselves through bad loans, the government merely guarantees that bad economic behavior will continue.
Credit is indeed vital to an economy, but it does not constitute an economy within itself. The important thing to remember is that credit is scarce, and is limited by the stock of savings. Obviously, savings loaned to one individual is not available to be loaned to another until it the outstanding debt is repaid. If it is never repaid, the savings are lost.
Loans to consumers not only crowd out more productive loans that might have been made to business, they have a far greater likelihood of ending in default. In addition, while business loans increase our capital stock and lead to greater productivity, loans made to consumers are merely spent, and do not create conditions that will make repayment easier.
When businesses borrow to fund capital investments, the extra cash flows that result are used to repay the loans. When individuals borrow to spend, loans can only be repaid out of reduced future consumption.
One of the reasons we are in such dire straits is that consumers have already borrowed and spent too much. Many did so based on the false belief that ever-appreciating real estate would ultimately provide the means to repay their debts and finance their lifestyles. Now that reality has finally set in, why should the spending spree continue?
The fact that our gross domestic product (GDP) – 70% of which is consumption-driven – is currently contracting should not surprise anyone. In fact, such a contraction is long overdue and the government should not do anything to interfere.
In trying to perpetuate the illusion, the government wants to revive the spending spree that has led us to this disaster. But how can such actions possibly help? How will more debt improve the economy? Wouldn’t our circumstances be vastly improved if we paid off some of our debts and replenished our savings? Wouldn’t we be in better shape if instead of buying more stuff we concentrated on producing it?
The unpleasant reality is that years of bad monetary and fiscal policy have encumbered our economy with debt and undermined our industrial capacity. The sooner we can begin to repair the damages, the sooner we can right the ship. If instead we merely administer more of the same, the ship will sink in a sea of inflation.
By Peter D. Schiff
Money Morning
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Comment by GoodB on 16 April 2009:
Credit is indeed vital to an economy, but it does not constitute an economy within itself. TRUE
When businesses borrow to fund capital investments, the extra cash flows that result are used to repay the loans. When individuals borrow to spend, loans can only be repaid out of reduced future consumption.
FALSE, cite example: Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers, JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Citigorup, Bank of America, AIG. These firms and the fundmental financial institutions in the US and Europe used borrowed money to lend over and over in what virtually amounts to a global Ponzi Scheme. All credit, business or consumer is based on future output of energy and production. A mortgage is a promise to repay based on 30 years of future production by an individual or if a commercial loan as per the terms of loan, 15 years of future projected revenues or resale etc.
One of the reasons we are in such dire straits is that consumers have already borrowed and spent too much.
TRUE – due to the false marketing of consumer predatory lending, be it credit card, auto loan or mortgage.
The real culprit is the reliance on business of consumer credit for profits and the weak lending standards of 80% of lenders and credit issuers.
The unpleasant reality is that years of bad monetary and fiscal policy have encumbered our economy with debt and undermined our industrial capacity. The sooner we can begin to repair the damages, the sooner we can right the ship. If instead we merely administer more of the same, the ship will sink in a sea of inflation.
Absolutely- Yet this is a shared responsibility on the part of consumers and businesses.
Businesses should not be given carte blanche to borrow, anymore than consumers should. The current crisis has in no uncertain terms reached the magnitude it has due to the inexcusable and irrational overleveraging of the world’s largest financial institutions. No matter how much borrowing a consumer did, it would never amount to more the 38-41% of their total income. Unlike our “trusted” banking and financial institutions who were legally allowed to borrow 40 times their incomes.
The responsibility lands scarely at the feet of the dysfunctional and recklessly mismanaged financial system giants.
Good information although somewhat skewed by absolving business of its culpability in the current economic crisis.