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Demand Drops Crude; Volkswagen Races Ahead; Yen’s Strength Sinks Stocks; Verizon Dials Up Gains; Sept. Home Sales Up; Wal-Mart Scales Back; Citi Rejects Goldman Merger

  • Crude oil for December delivery declined 1.4% yesterday (Monday) with a 93-cent drop to close at $63.22 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Oil futures are down 57% from the July 11 record of $147.27 and 31% down from a year ago, Bloomberg News reported.  “With all of the stock markets going down, there’s going to continue to be downward pressure,” said Michael Fitzpatrick, vice president for energy risk management at MF Global Ltd. (MF) in New York. “There’s not a lot that can be done to stop this downward spiral right now.”
  • Shares of German automaker Volkswagen AG (ADR OTC: VLKAY) skyrocketed over 120% yesterday (Monday) with a gain of $64.75 to close at $118.00. Porche SE (PINK: POAHF) announced late Sunday that it would increase its stake in Volkswagen to 75% in 2009, The Wall Street Journal reported. The sudden price spike was due in part to Volkswagen’s relatively small free float, as Porche is just shy of a 75% ownership stake and the German state of Lower Saxony controls 20%.
  • The Japanese yen hit a 13-year high versus the dollar yesterday (Monday), trading at just under 94 yen to the dollar. Fear of the effect the strong yen would have on exports sent the Nikkei 225 to a 26-year low of 7,162.90 after losing 6.4% for the day. The key Japanese benchmark is down 53% year-to-date, BusinessWeek reported.
  • New home sales posted an unexpected increase in September, the Commerce Department reported yesterday (Monday). New, single-family home sales rose 2.7% in September to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 464,000 homes. Sales were still down 33% from a year ago and off almost 68% from the peak reached July 2005.
  • Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) Chief Executive Lloyd Blankfein called Citigroup Inc.’s (C) Vikram Pandit last month about a possible merger, but Pandit rejected the proposal, a source familiar with the situation told Reuters yesterday (Monday). Blankfein’s call was made shortly after Goldman got the approval to become a commercial bank on September 21 and with the knowledge of regulators, the source said.

Money Morning

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  1. Wal-Mart Locked-in on its Success Formula 40 years ago. Since then competitors are finding ways to match its advantages, while coming up with superior offerings. Target, Kohl’s, etc. keep clipping away at old Wal-Mart advantages, styming Wal-Mart’s long-term U.S. growth in revenues and profits. So Wal-Mart is having to go defensive, cutting new store growth while spending to modernize existing stores just to keep up. Meanwhile, who says that people in India, China or Mexico want the Wal-Mart Success Formula? Who says a model based on importing low-cost products from developed countries and selling them in massive quantities via huge centralized stores makes sense in the developed countries? Trying to Defend & Extend its tired model is not likely to provide the growth or returns that Wal-Mart investors historically expected. Read more at http://www.ThePhoenixPrinciple.com

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