Prosper Lending Update





Common sense would tell you that if there were subprime lending woes in the market – Prosper would be no exception. Apparently, there is currently a flight away from the D, E, and HR. Lenders are now allocating resources in their portfolio towards less risky investments in the AA, A, B, and C rated loans.

It wasn’t too long ago that I hinted my concern for these lower credit borrowers. In response I have begun lending to only AA, A, and B borrowers. In the graph below you’ll notice that of my 66 loans, only 57 are current.

In the past month alone eight out the nine late loans are “C” rated borrowers.

I also give you a picture of my current portfolio distribution. Obviously I invested heavily in the “C” range, which accounts for a little over 50% of my entire portfolio.

The fact that many of these “C” rated borrowers were late had me worried, so I decided to go on a little fact-finding mission to see if there was a common flaw in each of these loans. Remember that for all of these loans I used a standing order with specific lending constraints/criteria and did not personally select which loans to lend money to.

Here are the five loans labeled as being one month late:

Late Loan One
-One current delinquency***
-56% debt/income ratio
-Bank account not verified***
-Employed one month***
-Bankcard utilization (12%)

Late Loan Two
-Two current delinquencies***
-5% debt/income ratio
-Bank account and home verified
-Employed nine months
-Bankcard utilization (0%)

Late Loan Three
-Four current delinquencies***
-20% debt/income ratio
-Bank account and home verified
-Employed five years & nine months
-Bankcard utilization (0%)

Late Loan Four
-No current delinquencies
-20% debt/income ratio
-Bank account verified
-Employed three years & five months
-Bankcard utilization (89%)***

Late Loan Five
-No current delinquencies
-35% debt/income ratio
-Bank account and home verified
-Employed five years & one month
-Bankcard utilization (18%)

Note: *** Represents Unfavorable Statistics

It seems that the underlying trouble with these loans stems from the fact that these borrowers either have a history of delinquency or carry too much credit card debt.

Perhaps Prosper will build their standing order screen to include those will no current delinquencies. I believe this function alone would reduce all late loan by half. Lending to those who actually care about their credit score makes sense.

Any thoughts?

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There Are 6 Responses So Far. »

  1. I prefer to not use standing orders so that I don’t have to work so darn hard tailoring the standing order to avoid all the crazy stuff borrowers do to their credit.

  2. Hi. Are you in the black now, or are you loosing money? If you refer to my blog (linked above), you’ll see that I’m in the black, but I would have done as well in a CD. Do you think Prosper is still worth pursuing?

    (P.S. I also blogged about recaptcha, which I see you using. Cool.)

  3. Hey Joel,

    Yes, I am in the black but I find that as time goes on my strategy has slowly evolved to the point where even the “C” rated loans are much too risky for my blood.

    I’ll focus more on AA, A, and B for the time being and see how that works out. However, it will take some time to shift the balance of my portfolio towards the higher quality loans.

    We’ll see how things play out. Like investing, you have to find a strategy that works and tweak it to maximize returns.

    I wish you the best of luck in your lending portfolio. If you have any tips let me know. I’ll do the same. Look forward to hearing from you soon.

  4. You stated “Perhaps Prosper will build their standing order screen to include those will no current delinquencies”

    What does the “Now delinquent:” selection do under the “show more” options tab do?

  5. The “now delinquent” selection allows you to filter out those who have had a history of missing payments on anything attached to their credit report, not just Prosper.

    You can choose for a potential borrower to have anywhere from 0 up to a hypothetical 999 delinquencies.

    My advice is to use 0 or 1 at most for this sleection. The fewer missed payments the better.

  6. Well, the economy and my exuberant Real Estate investing on the down slope caught up to me. Its hard to get a loan and I’ve got significant equity tied up. And I was the adviser. Ouch!
    I blame the feds with the interest rate increases.

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